Equation | (# participants) x (Q: % earning a higher education degree due to the intervention) x ($ additional lifetime earnings from a higher education degree vs. high school completion) x (Causation factor of a college degree on earnings) |
Explanation | This metric estimates the impact of counseling or coaching for high school students on the likelihood of postsecondary persistence or receiving a postsecondary degree, leading to increased lifetime earnings. Number of participants: Reported by program. Q: Percentage earning a higher education degree due to the intervention: [0.05]. This is estimated by Constellation Fund staff using the following formula: In this formula, ES [0.10] is the effect size from a meta-analysis of availability and expenditures in student services (including academic and non-academic supports) on the rate of graduation at any level of higher education. The effect size is measured in percent increase. The base percentage [48%] is the average graduation rate at 2- and 4-year postsecondary institutions estimated using data from the National Student Clearinghouse (2016). Additional lifetime earnings from a higher education degree vs. high school diploma: [$217,000]. This is the weighted average of additional lifetime earnings of associate and bachelor’s degree holders computed using ACS data (U.S. Census, 2017). These benefits are already discounted to present value. Causation factor of college on earnings: [0.56]. This is the percentage of observed earnings gains caused by a higher education degree. This factor measures the degree to which the observed difference in earnings between college graduates and individuals with only a high school completion is causal (WSIPP, 2019). |
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